NBA AI — Codalata

The basics

Line: FanDuel's number for rebounds. Over = more, Under = fewer. Beside it, its low–high range today.
o / u: Over (o) and Under (u) prices: −110 ≈ 52% likely, +120 ≈ 45%.
Prediction: NBA AI model's rebounds prediction. Brown = he or referees unconfirmed.
Diff %: Prediction above (+) or below (−) the Line: Line 10, Prediction 15 = +50%.
Lean: The side of the Line the Prediction is on. Not a recommendation.
Over, last 5 / 10 / season: 3 of 5 = over the model's line in 3 of his last 5 games.
Min prev / avg: His minutes: last game and season average.
Out (team / opp): Players ruled out: 4 / 8 = 4 on his team, 8 on the opponent. Point at it for names.
Actual: His real stat vs the closing line. Void = he did not play.
Minutes: Minutes he played. Actual and Minutes appear once a game of the date is final.

Default

Player: Player, team vs (home) or @ (away) opponent, tip-off time and the game's state. The name opens his detail
Line: FanDuel's number for him: Over = more, Under = fewer. o / u = the prices; low–high = range today. After tip-off: closing line
Prediction: NBA AI model's prediction of his stat. Brown = he, his position's starter or referees not confirmed; tap or point for why. "–" = it gave 0
Diff %: How far the Prediction is above (+) or below (−) the line shown (the closing line once the game is scored): (Prediction − Line) ÷ Line. +50% = Line 10, Prediction 15
Lean: Over when the Prediction is above the line shown (the closing line once the game is scored), Under when below, Even when equal. It describes the model's number; not advice
Actual: His real stat; under it, the lean's hit or miss against the closing line (Push or Void when none). Shown once games are final
Minutes: Minutes he played; DNP / Inactive = did not play, so void (point at it for why). Shown once games are final, as Actual
Over, last 5: How often he went over the line at prediction: 3 of 5 = he went over in 3 of his last 5 games (fewer than 5 early on)
Over, last 10: How often he went over the line at prediction: 6 of 10 = he went over in 6 of his last 10 games (fewer than 10 early on)
Over, season: In how many of his earlier games in the model's data window (about the last month) he went over the line at prediction
Season avg: His average of this stat per game this season, before this game
Min prev: Minutes he played in his previous game. "–" = not sent with this prediction
Min avg: His average minutes per game this season, before this game. "–" = not sent with this prediction
Out (team / opp): Players ruled out of this game (injured or inactive): 4 / 8 = 4 on his team, 8 on the opponent. Point at or tap it for names
Rest: Days since his last game; b2b = back to back (he played the day before)

Form

Min L10: His average minutes over his last 10 games (fewer early in the season)
Min last 3: His average minutes over his last 3 games this season, before this game (fewer early on)
Min last 5: His average minutes over his last 5 games this season, before this game (fewer early on)
Min last 9: His average minutes over his last 9 games this season, before this game (fewer early on)
Max minutes: His most minutes in one game this season, before this game
Last 3 avg: Average of the stat over his last 3 games (fewer early in the season)
Last 5 avg: Average of the stat over his last 5 games (fewer early in the season)
Last 9 avg: Average of the stat over his last 9 games (fewer early in the season)
Previous game: The stat in the player's previous game this season
Last vs opponent: The stat in the player's last game against this opponent, any season; "–" = never faced them
Last 10 games: The stat in the player's last 10 games, newest first; "–" = no value for that game
Last 10 minutes: Minutes he played in each of the Last 10 games, newest first; "–" = not sent with this prediction
Diff vs avg: Prediction minus the season average, in stat units
|Diff|: How far the Prediction is from the line, over or under, in stat units
|Diff %|: Diff % without its sign: how far the Prediction is from the line, over or under
Avg − line: Season average minus the line; + = his average sits above it
L3 − line: Last 3 avg minus the line; + = his last 3 games averaged above it
Prev − line: His previous game's stat minus this game's line; + = above it
L3 − avg: Last 3 avg minus the season average; + = recent games above his average

Opponent

Opponent out: Opponent players ruled out for this game (injury, inactive, suspension)
Opp defence last 1: The stat the matched opposing player allowed to his own matchup in his previous game
Opp defence last 3: The stat the matched opposing player allowed to his own matchup, averaged over his last 3 games
Opp defence season: The stat the matched opposing player allowed to his own matchup, season average
Opp defence prev rank: Not a rank: the matched opposing player's fouls + steals + blocks in his previous game
Opp defence L3 rank: Not a rank: the matched opposing player's fouls + steals + blocks, each averaged over his last 3 games
Opp defence season rank: Not a rank: the matched opposing player's fouls + steals + blocks, each as a season average
Opposing player: Opponent paired with this player: same start slot, nearest minutes. A heuristic, not the real defender

Rest & travel

Home / away: Home when the player's team hosts the game, Away otherwise
Days since last game: Days since the player's previous game; 1 = back to back, 0 = no earlier game on record
Week minutes: Minutes the player played in the 7 days before this game
Opponent rest days: Days since the matched opposing player (see Opposing player) last played
Opponent week minutes: Minutes the matched opposing player played in the 7 days before this game
Distance (mi): Miles between the two teams' home cities; 0 for the home team. Not the actual trip from the last game
Altitude (ft): Altitude of the home arena in feet; the same for both teams

Lineup

Unconfirmed reason: Why the row is unconfirmed, e.g. his position's starter questionable or referees not posted; "–" = confirmed
Referees: Whether the referee crew was confirmed when the row was predicted; if not, Prediction shows brown
Start slot: Lineup slot: C, F or G = starter at that position; B = bench or not named in the lineup
Team out: Teammates ruled out for this game (injury, inactive, suspension)

Referees

Referee 1: First referee of the crew; "–" = crew not known yet
Referee 2: Second referee of the crew; "–" = crew not known yet
Referee history (36): 36 cells: R1/R2 = referee, L1–L6 = his 1st–6th latest game with this player; the stat, TO, PF. "unknown" = no such game
Referee LOW4: Sheet signal −4 to 4: per 3-game block with each referee, +1 if all 3 were under avg ÷ 1.1, else −1. "–" = refs unknown
Referee HIGH4: Sheet signal −4 to 4: per 3-game block with each referee, +1 if all 3 were over avg × 1.1, else −1. "–" = refs unknown

Market

Line at prediction: FanDuel line when the model ran; Lean at prediction uses it. Result and Lean hit use the closing line. "–" = no line then
Over price at prediction: Price on the Over when the model ran. American odds: −110 = stake 110 to win 100, +120 = win 120 per 100
Under price at prediction: Price on the Under when the model ran. American odds: −110 = stake 110 to win 100, +120 = win 120 per 100
Over price: Latest price on the Over. American odds: −110 = stake 110 to win 100, +120 = win 120 per 100
Under price: Latest price on the Under. American odds: −110 = stake 110 to win 100, +120 = win 120 per 100
Implied over %: The Over's chance as the latest over and under prices imply it, with the bookmaker's cut removed
Opening line: First line seen today for this player and stat; "–" = no snapshot yet
Move since open: Latest line minus the opening line; + = the line went up
Move since prediction: Latest line minus the line at prediction; + = the line went up after the model ran
Line as of: When the latest line was fetched, in your local time
Book: Sportsbook the line comes from
Lean at prediction: Over or Under: the side of the line at prediction the Prediction sat on. Lean hit uses the closing line
Closing line: Last FanDuel line before tip-off; Result and Lean hit are judged on it. "–" = before the game, or no line before tip-off

Model

Model tag: Id of the model that made this prediction: stat, position group, build date-time and two short hashes
Model record: This model tag's lean hit rate and within-10% rate over the kept days, with counts; "–" = fewer than 5 scored

Model (legacy)

Predict spread: Spread (std dev) of repeated predictions from the same model with dropout on, in stat units; 0 = all agreed
Price score L5: 100 × (L5 over-rate × over payout − over's implied chance); over price whatever the lean. Not an expected value
Within-10% season: Share of his predicted games in the data window within 10% of the actual (within 1 when it is under 11), to his previous game
Within-10% last 3: Of his last 3 predicted games, the share within 10% of the actual (within 1 when it is under 11); always ÷ 3
Within-10% last 5: Of his last 5 predicted games, the share within 10% of the actual (within 1 when it is under 11); always ÷ 5
Within-10% last 9: Of his last 9 predicted games, the share within 10% of the actual (within 1 when it is under 11); always ÷ 9
Within-10% count: Count of his predicted games in the data window within 10% of the actual (within 1 under 10), to his previous game

Post-game

Result: Over (more than the closing line), Under (fewer), Push (equal), Void (did not play, postponed or no line)
Lean hit: yes when the actual fell on the model's side of the closing line; "—" = push, void or no lean
Within 10%: yes when the model was within 10% of the actual (within 1 when it is under 11)

In the CSV only

Player ID: NBA's numeric id for the player
Player name: Player name as the NBA box score spells it
Team: The player's team, 3-letter code
Opponent: The opposing team, 3-letter code
Game ID: NBA game id, without the leading 00
Home team: Home team of the game, 3-letter code
Away team: Away team of the game, 3-letter code
Tip-off: Scheduled tip-off time
Game status: State of the game: scheduled, final or postponed
Unconfirmed: 1 when the player's spot or the referee crew was not confirmed when the row was predicted; Prediction then shows brown
Floored: 1 when the model output 0: the prediction is hidden and the row gets no lean, hit or within-10% score
L5 over count: How many of the player's last 5 games went over the line at prediction
L5 games: Games counted for Over, last 5 (fewer if he has played fewer)
L10 over count: How many of the player's last 10 games went over the line at prediction
L10 games: Games counted for Over, last 10 (fewer if he has played fewer)
Season over count: How many of the player's earlier games in the model's data window went over the line at prediction
Season games: Games counted for Over, season: his earlier games in the model's data window (about the last month)
Team out players: Teammates ruled out for this game as "Name (POS); Name (POS)", POS = G, F, C or a pair like G-F; empty = none or not sent
Opponent out players: Opponent players ruled out for this game as "Name (POS); Name (POS)"; empty = none or not sent
Diff: Prediction minus the line shown (the closing line once the game is scored), in stat units

Filters

Team: Only players on this team
Game: Only players in this game
Slot: Only this lineup slot: C, F or G = starter at that position, Bench = bench or not named. Shows the Start slot column while set
Lean: Only rows whose Prediction is above (Over) or below (Under) the latest line. Not a recommendation. Shows the Lean column while set
Has line: Only players FanDuel has a line for; untick to list players without one too
Min |Diff %|: Only rows whose Prediction is at least this many % away from the line, above or below. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction while set
Min avg: Only players whose season average of this stat is at least this. Shows the Season avg column while set
Max |Diff %|: Only rows whose Prediction is at most this many % away from the line, above or below; blank = no limit. Shows Diff %
Max avg: Only players whose season average of this stat is at most this; blank = no limit. Shows the Season avg column while set
P>10: Only rows with the Prediction more than 10% above the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
P>20: Only rows with the Prediction more than 20% above the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
P>30: Only rows with the Prediction more than 30% above the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
P<10: Only rows with the Prediction more than 10% below the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
P<20: Only rows with the Prediction more than 20% below the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
P<30: Only rows with the Prediction more than 30% below the latest line. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction when ticked
Tight: Only rows whose Prediction is within 6% of the latest line, above or below. Shows Diff %, Line and Prediction while ticked
Confirmed only: Model records count only rows whose player and referees were confirmed; the rows shown do not change. Shows Model record
Group by game: Lists the rows under one header per game, in tip-off order
Preset: Fills the conditions with a built-in or saved preset; changing any value makes it Custom. Thresholds were found on PTS
Line basis: The line the conditions and the summary use: the displayed line (closing once scored) or the line when the prediction was made
Match: All = a row must meet every condition; Any = one is enough. A group counts as one condition
Group match: All = every condition of this group must hold; Any = one of them is enough. The group is one condition of the Match above
Field: What the condition tests: a column, or a value read on the line basis (Prediction − line, Diff %, Over L10 vs selected line…)
Operator: How the field is compared: < ≤ = ≠ ≥ >, is / is not, or is missing / is present. A missing value never counts as 0
Compare with: value = a number you type; field = another field of the same kind on the same row (stat units, %, over-rates…)
Value: The number or text the field is compared with; an over-rate is 0 to 1 (0.5 = 50%). A range is two conditions, e.g. ≥ 10 and < 15
Second field: The field compared with on the same row; only fields of the same kind are listed
Preset name: The name Save preset keeps the conditions under, in this browser only; the same name replaces the old one
Sort: Accuracy (highest first; ties by graded rows, then ID) or the preset ID
Min graded: Hides presets with fewer graded rows (hits + misses) than this

Presets

Built-in Advanced presets: M = Prediction, L = the basis line, A = season average, R = last 3 average, P = previous game, H = stored season over-rate. The thresholds were found on PTS; REB and AST reuse them without a record.

01 · Over after previous game below line
02 · Under after previous game above line
03 · Under; season average 10–<15
04 · Under; line 10–<15
05 · Under; historical over rate ≥50%
06 · Under; season average <15
07 · Under; line <10
08 · Under; season average above line
09 · Over; historical over rate <50%
10 · Under; last-3 average above line
11 · Under; season average ≥20
12 · Under; prediction margin ≥2
13 · Season average opposes prediction
14 · Under; season average <10
15 · Under; prediction margin ≥3
16 · Under; season average <20
17 · Under; last-3 average above season average
18 · Under; prediction margin ≥5
19 · Last-3 average opposes prediction
20 · Under; prediction margin ≥1
21 · Under; last-3 average below line
22 · Under; season average below line
23 · Under; line ≥20
24 · Under; last-3 average below season average
25 · Under; both averages above line
26 · Under; both averages below line
27 · Both averages oppose prediction
28 · Over; season average below line
29 · Prediction and last-3 average agree
30 · Prediction and season average agree
31 · Under; historical over rate <50%
32 · Over; line <10
33 · Over; season average <10
34 · Over; season average 10–<20
35 · Prediction and both averages agree
36 · Under after previous game below line
37 · Over; last-3 average below line
38 · Over; both averages below line
39 · Over; last-3 average above line
40 · Over; season average above line
41 · Over; both averages above line
42 · Prediction and previous game agree
43 · Over; line ≥10
44 · Prediction, both averages, and previous game agree
45 · Over; historical over rate ≥50%
46 · Under; line 15–<20
47 · Over after previous game above line
48 · Over; prediction margin ≥3
49 · Under; season average 15–<20
50 · Over; season average ≥20
51 · Prediction opposes previous game

Codalata

NBA AI · REB · Nov 16, 2026

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